A new article by Prof. Dr. Azer Dilanchiev has been published in Energy Policy, an Elsevier scientific journal indexed in Scopus and Web of Science, listed in JCR Q1, with an Impact Factor of 9.3 and CiteScore 19.3.

The article, titled “Renewable energy and energy security under geopolitical vulnerability: New evidence from fragile regions,” examines the role of renewable energy in strengthening energy security in geopolitically vulnerable and institutionally fragile countries. The study focuses on 13 countries - Algeria, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Egypt, Georgia, Jordan, Lebanon, Moldova, Morocco, North Macedonia, Serbia, and Tunisia - over the period 2000–2023.

The research investigates how renewable energy deployment, energy import dependence, industrialization, urbanization, and institutional fragility affect national energy security. The study uses advanced panel econometric methods, including PCSE, FGLS, FMOLS, and FE–2SLS, to address cross-sectional dependence, heterogeneity, long-run relationships, and potential endogeneity.

The findings show that renewable energy development and industrialization significantly improve energy security in vulnerable economies. At the same time, high energy import dependence, rapid urbanization, and institutional fragility create serious barriers to stable and resilient energy systems. The results suggest that renewable energy should not be viewed only as an environmental policy instrument, but also as a strategic mechanism for reducing dependence on imported fossil fuels and increasing resilience against geopolitical shocks.

The article highlights the importance of combining renewable energy expansion with institutional reform, transparent energy governance, green industrialization, and long-term infrastructure planning. Its findings are particularly relevant for countries facing geopolitical uncertainty, energy import dependence, institutional weakness, and the need for sustainable energy transition.

The full article is available here.